How to identify the next president of the United States based on past voting history, demographic and other factors?
The Hill is bringing together the experts to analyze voting trends in the next four years, focusing on key states.
(AP) A new study shows that, if the election were held today, Donald Trump’s likely victory would be based on the number of people who voted in his 2016 presidential bid.
The study, which was conducted by the nonprofit Center for American Progress, found that if the next presidential election were conducted today, it would likely be Trump’s victory based on voter turnout.
The Center’s Nate Silver says the study shows how the election could unfold if there are fewer than 2 million registered voters.
The results also reveal that the Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton, would have an advantage in winning the election, based on historical turnout.
Clinton has had more than 2.5 million votes.
In the 2016 presidential election, more than half of the eligible voters cast ballots in at least one election.
Those voters will likely make up the majority of eligible voters in 2020.
If there are more than 4 million registered votes, the researchers found that Clinton would win the election.